Welcome to NFL Week 3! In case you missed this article the first couple of weeks, let me explain what we’re doing here. This is a weekly piece on DFS plays for Draft Kings with a focus on GPPs, in particular, the main slate. The articles will indicate who I think will be the chalk plays, who some pivots or contrarian plays are to get off the chalk, and some punts plays that could either save on salary or are just so far below the radar they might be tournament winning plays if all goes well. Instead of saying “Player A” is chalk, pivot to “Player B,” I’ll just have a chart showing my data for the match-ups with the chalk/pivots/punts listed after that. In this article, pivots can be a pivot from one player to another player at the same position, from one position to another, or just a way to pivot to the other side of a game that everyone else might be stacking.
Simply put, the pivots will not always be direct pivots, more like other ideas to consider in the macro-view of the slate. Each game will have a brief write up and will include the team’s projected point total and spread as of the time of writing. Without further ado, let’s have a look at the Sunday main slate.
Above is the Vegas implied totals and lines for each game (I am using MyBookie for the lines), as well as match-up data I have compiled for opponent fantasy points allowed and yard/TD data vs. the positions we are looking at for building our DFS rosters. Since we’re looking at opponent data, read across the line as such. If you read the NO line, that is all the data that their opponent (ATL) allowed so far this year. Red is bad, greens are good, and blue is the highest for that data point.
Below is my Chalk, Pivots, and Punts Chart based on my opinion of the slate and what the field will likely be on this week.
Let’s dig into each game and see what the good chalk is, where to pivot, and if there are any good punts on the slate.
New Orleans Saints (25.5/+3) at Atlanta Falcons (28.5/-3) [54]
The usual suspects for the Saints are all in a good spot again this week. Drew Brees ($6400), Michael Thomas ($8900), and Alvin Kamara ($9500) will be chalky, which is fine. If you can afford them, they’re all good plays. I’m especially interested in Kamara this week against a defense that is routinely abused by pass-catching running backs. Michael Thomas’ best game last year came in ATL when he caught 10 passes for 117 yards and a TD. With the way he’s been targeted and producing, he has to be on the top of any “must play” lists. He’s a “use where you can afford him” play this week. Sean Payton has stated he needs to find ways to get Tre’Quan Smith ($3400) more touches. This may be a wait and see deal, but if you want to be the first on this train, he’s a cheap punt play.
Matt Ryan ($5700) comes in a pretty cheap price for a game with 54 total implied points. The Saints are second highest on the slate for points allowed to opposing QBs, and Ryan is coming off a 4 total TD game. Similar to Carolina, the Saints are not giving up points to RBs, which puts Ryan in the same spot he was in last week. Julio Jones ($7900) vs Marshon Lattimore and Calvin Ridley ($3700) vs Ken Crawley has me leaning toward stacking Ryan with Ridley, but Julio is such a superior talent to anyone he plays, and his price has dropped $500 since last week. I’m willing to go back to Julio and hope for the best and that he and Ryan have a better connection this week. Perhaps recency bias will keep him from being chalk this week. Tevin Coleman ($6400) had a good game against the Panthers stout run defense last week, and he should get the bulk of the opportunities again in this one. His price jumped $1100 from last week, which puts him in play only if you think he can eclipse 20 points. I could see him doing that, so he’ll be in consideration for me.
Green Bay Packers (24.5/-3.5) at Washington Redskins (21.0/+3.5) [45.5]
Flashback to April 23rd, 2005 – draft day. The San Francisco 49ers fan base relentlessly debated who the #1 pick would be between Alex Smith and Aaron Rodgers. The 49ers chose to ruin the early portion of Alex’s Smith career instead of Aaron Rodgers ($7100) because Rodgers was “too cocky”. And, for how pissed Rodgers seemed in that green room, they actually did him a favor. He got to sit behind a future HOFer for a few years, grow with a head coach that arrived the year after that draft and is still there to this day – then he got his shot to prove everyone wrong. He didn’t have to endure multiple coaching and coordinator changes, terrible personnel decisions around him, or have to see Mike Singletary’s boxers. So, while his frustration may be more with the 49ers organization, and not Smitty, there is still a narrative here…which is ultimately meaningless, but interesting none the less.
That said, the Redskins do not present a favorable match-up on paper for Rodgers and the gang, but this is Aaron Rodgers we’re talking about. Rodgers’ knee permitting, this is a spot where you bet on talent while everyone else fades the perceived “bad match-up” at the highest price for a QB on the slate (everyone else will be on Mahomes or Cousins this high in price). Davante Adams ($7600) should see a lot of Quinton Dunbar in this one, who is playing the best out of the Redskins corners right now, but Adams is the most talented and targeted WR on the Pack and has had the most Red Zone opportunities on the Packers this year, per Daily Roto’s Red Zone Opportunities tool. The best WR/CB match-up in this one would appear to be Randall Cobb ($5200) versus Fabian Moreau, and that stack offers a discount in case you can’t get Adams into your line-up. Aaron Jones ($4300) makes his debut for the season this week, and will be on my radar as a punt play at RB where I need cap relief or as a pivot off Clement. Jamaal Williams hasn’t done anything to warrant sticking with him exclusively, so if Jones gets hot, he could take over the load in this game.
The Washington passing game has yet to get going so far, so there’s questions about whether to play any of these guys. Alex Smith ($5800) has targeted Chris Thompson ($6300) and Jordan Reed ($5400) the most so far this season, followed by Paul Richardson ($4300). Green Bay has been pretty stout against RBs, but Thompson’s target totals cannot be ignored, and neither can his 43% red zone target share (also per Daily Roto’s premium tools). If I’m using anyone on the Skins this week, it’s Thompson, with an outside possibility of rostering Richardson, if I’m short on cap and he fits.
Indianapolis Colts (20.0/+7) at Philadelphia Eagles (27.0/-7) [47]
Andrew Luck ($5600) has attempted 84 passes so far this year with 22 of them directed at T.Y. Hilton ($6700). This combo is definitely in play against the Eagles’ league-best rushing defense that forces opponents to the air. Hilton lines up all over the formation, so he’s match-up proof. Reich will find ways to get Hilton into open space against a defense that is surrendering 25.2 points to opponent WR1s (2nd highest total on the slate). With Jack Doyle set to miss this one, you could make a case for Eric Ebron ($3400) as a punt play due to increased opportunity, but the Eagles have good coverage backers and safeties, and aside from O.J. Howard beating Jordan Hicks on a post route, then a poor tackling effort by Ronald Darby, their points allowed to all TEs this year is 4.8 per game.
The Colts have the worst defense in the league in terms of fantasy points allowed to the opponent’s #1 RB. Normally that would be Jay Ajayi ($5700), but Ajayi hasn’t practiced all week (neither has Sproles), leaving the door open for Corey Clement ($4300) to get a nice workload in this one if he plays, as he is dealing with a quad injury himself. Clement made the punt list last week and produced, and I would expect more of the same here. This week, he’ll be the chalk if he plays, but he’ll be a “free square” play that will be hard to avoid at his price. If Clement can’t go, then minimum priced Wendall Smallwood ($3000) becomes the free square. Carson Wentz ($6200) is set to return to game action this week, which gives us a solid pivot play from other QBs in this price range that will be higher owned (Garoppolo, Brees, Watson, Cam) as the field will likely wait and see how he does with his depleted skill positions. The Eagles re-signed Jordan Matthews (N/A) this week, who he has some rapport with, but will not be available on DK. That leaves Zach Ertz ($6800 – TE1) as the preferred play here. Nelson Agholor ($6100) appears to be heading back outside to make way for Matthews in the slot, which is not ideal for him. He didn’t blossom until coming inside, and will now have to try and beat jams and less open field to work with again.
Buffalo Bills (11.75/+17) at Minnesota Vikings (28.75/-17) [40.5]
Oof. With Shady and Fat Kelvin both limited in practice Wednesday and the off the field stuff surrounding Shady, it’s hard to like anything here – and I don’t. Hard pass on anything Bills offense this week.
All Minnesota might need to win this one is a field goal from new kicker Dan Bailey. Thus, the Vikings defense is going to be super chalky. I’ll pay up for it where I can, but defense is kind of a whatever fits in after the skill guys take up salary for me. That being said, I will make an effort to get them in more than I normally would for a defense. The question on the offensive side of the ball is how much can you get out of the starters for 3 quarters before the back-ups get some game time. The entire group of Kirk Cousins ($6800), Adam Thielen ($7800), Stefon Diggs ($7700), Kyle Rudolph ($4100) and Dalvin Cook ($7100) are all in smash spots this week. It’s hard to pick just one. It’s even conceivable to just create a Vikings super-stack line-up as one of your entries this week and it will have a good chance of hitting 150 points for a foundation with any 4 of these guys. Slip in some solid punts (like Ridley, Aaron Jones, and Corey Clement), and you got potential for 200+…if they play long enough. Perhaps a sneaky play will be Latavius Murray ($5800) since Cook is nursing a hamstring injury and could get a quick hook in this one if it’s a blowout – or if he doesn’t play.
Oakland Raiders (20.75/+3) at Miami Dolphins (23.75/-3) [44.5]
If Oakland is going to force the issue with Amari Cooper ($6600) again this week, he comes at a good price and will be on my radar – even with Xavien Howard expected to shadow him. So will Jared Cook ($4000) and 16 targets and 32% air yards market share – both lead the Raiders. Cook went 8 catches for 126 in this match-up last year. Random fact – the Dolphins have knocked their opponent’s starting TE out of both games they’ve played so far, so here’s hoping that Cook can buck that trend.
Oakland has been exploitable in the run game and is surrendering a league-worst 154 ypg. Kenyan Drake ($5600) is in a smash spot this week and should be able to do some major damage in both the running and passing games if he’s the focal point of the Dolphin attack this week. Drake with five and Ryan Tannehill ($5300) with three lead the Phins in Red Zone Opportunities, which bodes well for both players. Tannehill managed to run for 44 yards on 8 carries last week against the Jets, so the knee must be feeling better. This type of output boosts his floor if it continues – and it’s possible he could go Matt Ryan and punch in 2 rushing TDs against the soft belly of the OAK defense.
Denver Broncos (19.0/+5.5) at Baltimore Ravens (24.5/-5.5) [44.5]
Emmanuel Sanders ($6400) will be chalky this Sunday, especially after Pat Thorman of PFF pointed out how he has the best WR/CB match-up “by far” this week.
Emmanuel Sanders has, by far, the best CB matchup this week at BAL.
Tavon Young got dogwalked in the slot vs CIN (6-for-6, 80 yards, 2 TDs).
Sanders runs 71% of routes from the slot. https://t.co/zoTjZiqAgd
— Pat Thorman (@Pat_Thorman) September 18, 2018
So, if you want to get off the chalk and use Demaryius Thomas ($5200) for $1200 in savings, it wouldn’t be so bad. Thomas leads the Broncos in targets (21) and Air Yards (195), and he’s the only WR besides Tim Patrick with a Red Zone target with 4. The Ravens defense has been good against the run, so taking to the air may be where the Broncos strike. The other guy with the team leading 4 red zone targets is scat back Phillip Lindsay ($4600) who is priced like DK doesn’t believe he’s going to continue being productive. Royce Freeman ($4200) is more likely to be shut down this week than Lindsay do to his one-dimensional role. A viable punt play from this game is TE Jake Butt ($2700). Butt is 4th on the team in targets with ten (six more than Heuerman). He’s also 4th on the team in Air Yards (86). Butt has grabbed a few clutch catches each of the last two games, so he’s working up trust and rapport with Keenum.
So far this year, the Denver defense has only allowed a good game to Will Dissly in week 1 and Amari Cooper in week 2. So, there’s likely only one guy who will step up for the Ravens this week and have a good game. The Bronco run defense is stout and Baltimore likes to split work between Collins and Allen, so I don’t see either of those guys having a monster game. My guess would be either John Brown ($4800) or Michael Crabtree ($5000) have the best shot at a 20+ game of anyone here. When choosing between the two, I lean more toward Brown because of his big-play potential more so than possession receiver Crabtree, who’s only got 1 red zone target compared to Brown’s 3. It’s more likely I’m just going to fade the Ravens altogether.
Cincinnati Bengals (20.25/+3) at Carolina Panthers (23.25/-3) [43.5]
The Bengals will be without first-round center Billy Price and their workhorse back Joe Mixon this week, leaving Gio Bernard ($5900 – no thanks) who is dealing with a knee issue of his own and Mark Walton ($3500) to choose from on DK, since Thomas Rawls is not in the pool. Walton makes for a semi-intriguing punt play, but only if Gio misses the game, which as of now does not appear to be in the cards. The Panthers have only allowed 205 average yards through the air so far, but that’s against Dak and Ryan. A.J. Green ($7500) has the talent to always be in play, and when you’re playing a team that stuffs the run, the aerial options tend to stick out more. Green may see the Bradberry Blanket, but he does travel into the slot often enough he should be match-up proof. In fact, all 3 of his TD catches last week came from the slot, which is where Captain Munnerlyn lines up. This is a good spot for Green to be in this week.
The Panther offense is pretty much Christian McCaffrey ($7800) and Cam Newton ($6000), and both are in a good spot here. Cincy has allowed 332 passing yards per game (2nd highest on the slate) and 2 passing TDs each game. McCaffrey has a 34% market share of the Panther’s targets, which is the highest of any RB in the league. Cam’s price this week is hard to pass up for the type of numbers he can put up when he gets in a groove. I suspect he’ll be chalk because of the misprice, but I’m using him either way. CMC may be a little harder to get in, but he’ll be in a few of my line-ups. A couple of guys that may be flying under the radar and have good match-ups here are Jarius Wright ($3700) and Ian Thomas ($2800). Cincy is giving up the 2nd highest point total to slot WRs on the slate with an average of 24.1 points per game, and are the worst team against TEs allowing 25.3 points per game. Wright has 12 targets on the year and Thomas has 3 red zone opportunities. There’s a chance one of these punt plays could put up 15+ points.
New York Giants (17.75/+6.5) at Houston Texans (24.25/-6.5) [42]
Mike Shula is publicly stating they need to get Odell Beckham ($8200) going early in this one, so there will be scheming to get him open and the ball in his hands early. This is good news for OBJ, and the Texans secondary doesn’t have anyone back there that can stop him from doing whatever he wants anyway. The only other guy on this offense worth considering this week would be Saquon Barkley ($7600). Shepard vs Colvin and Engram vs The Honey Badger don’t scream must play to me, and neither does the 18 point implied total for the Giants.
Houston is finally home for the first time this year and Deshaun Watson ($6100) is underpriced for this match-up. The numbers for the Giants defense don’t make this look as appealing as it actually is. The Giants have injuries to Eli Apple in the secondary, and Olivier Vernon and Connor Barwin at pass rusher. This should be a match-up Watson can crush. The Giants highest score to a WR so far this year is 10.1 to Keelan Cole in week 1. Now, NY has only played the Jags and Cowboys, so they’re going to get a real test this week with DeAndre Hopkins ($8300) and Will Fuller ($5900). Hopkins is likely to draw the Giants’ most talented corner in Jenkins, but it’s not a match-up to avoid. With Eli Apple likely to miss this game, Will Fuller will see a lot of B.W. Webb or Donte Deayon, and he comes in $2400 cheaper – this is where I will go. There’s also Bruce Ellington ($3500) as a punt option who will face Donte Deayon or B.W. Webb in the slot. Webb is PFF’s 95th rated CB, so this is a quality punt option this week, as Ellington is talented but had his early career beset by injuries. Ellington is averaging 10.6 fantasy points per game, which pays off his salary at 3x, if you’re a line-up builder that focuses on that. I tend to focus on who has a legit shot at 20+ points as a punt, and Ellington falls in that bucket for me. The Giants have also allowed the second most rushing yards per game on the slate with 137.5, so that leaves room for Lamar Miller ($5000) to have a breakout game this week. Miller is averaging 77% of the team snaps, 57% of the carries, and 6 red zone opportunities – but not many targets. His main competition for carries in and out of the red zone is Watson, so he may be a bit capped in this one. Still, 100 yards and a TD is within his range of outcomes, and should push him over the 20 point mark with the DK bonus of 3 points for the 100-yard milestone.
Tennessee Titans (16.5/+6.5) at Jacksonville Jaguars (23.0/-6.5) [39.5]
The Titans offense is not what people were hoping for with the hiring of Shanahan/McVay disciple Matt LaFleur. Mariota has nerve damage in his throwing arm, Gabbert is a former 1st round bust still getting jobs holding clipboards and spot starting in the NFL, and the running game has been awful. Hard to find any bright spots for the Titans in this match-up. They’re a full fade for me this week.
Leonard Fournette ($6900) is expected to play in this one, but it’s not an ideal match-up and he is still nursing a sore hammy. Tennessee is solid vs the run, and the Jags may look to mix in Yeldon and Grant to keep Fournette from overworking himself this week. The match-up I do like in this one is for Keelan Cole ($5600) who lines up all over the place, similar to the way Indy is using Hilton. The Titans allowed Kenny Stills to finish as the WR8 in week one and Will Fuller (6) and DeAndre Hopkins (10) to both finish top 10 last week. Cole appears to be the top threat in the Jags passing game right now. It is interesting to see Donte Moncrief’s ($3800) Air Yards data though, and he could be an intriguing punt option. He leads the WR group in targets, air yards, market share of air yards, and an average depth of target – yet his production is lower than Cole and Dede Westbrook ($4600). It’s possible positive regression catches up for him sooner or later, and he’ll be very low owned if you want to take a chance on him as a punt option. You could also split the difference on ownership and production and pivot to Westbrook. Of course, if we’re looking at 3 WRs, we should also be looking at the QB Blake Bortles ($5600) who is priced near the bottom of usable QBs this week and makes a nice pay down/pivot play.
San Francisco 49ers (24.0/+7) at Kansas City Chiefs (31.0/-7) [55]
This game has huge potential for points and fantasy gold. Both teams have great offensive coordinators dialing up schemes that get people wide open. Both teams feature young but skilled QBs, explosive WRs (assuming Goodwin plays), and athletic TEs. Both teams also feature defenses that cannot stop each other form throwing the ball for a ton of yards and scores. Jimmy Garoppolo ($6500) is facing the team that has given up the most points to QBs this year. Arrowhead is always a tough place to play, but the Chiefs defense is not going to stop him from racking up points. His primary targets will be Marquise Goodwin ($5500) if he’s healthy, Pierre Garcon ($5300) and George Kittle ($4500). Matt Breida ($5400) had a blow-up game against Detroit last week and will look to keep that going. He’s solid in the run and passing game, so he’ll see plenty of usage and should eventually pass Morris in snap share. Keenan Allen and JuJu Smith Schuster have both obliterated the Chiefs from the slot position this year, which is manned by 49er Trent Taylor ($3700) this week. Taylor is obviously not the same talent as those two, but he has to be considered as a punt option with the data showing KC allows the most points to slot WRs in the league.
The Chiefs started out with two road games and are playing their home opener this week. The crowd will be loud and supportive and obviously excited to see Pat Mahomes ($7000) in person for the first time this year. Mahomes and Garoppolo are likely to top all QB lists for this week and will be chalky must plays. The 49ers are giving up 22.5 points to opposing QBs (5th most on the slate) and have allowed multiple passing TD in both games so far. KC is likely to find ways to get Tyreek Hill ($8500) matched up on last week’s burn victim Ahkello Witherspoon. If Ahkello hasn’t regained confidence after last week’s benching, he’s going to be in for a long day. Hill is the top WR on the board for me this week, and will be in as many line-ups as I can afford him in. Sammy Watkins ($5100) finally had a decent game last week and could also see time against Witherspoon or K’Wuan Williams, but he’s my third choice of the top pass catchers in the KC trio. Travis Kelce ($6700) would be my second choice to use after Hill. SF has only allowed 11.2 points per game to TEs, but they haven’t seen a Kelce type yet. The closest was Rudolph, who was held to one catch against the Niners, but it went for a TD. I do not have as much interest in Kareem Hunt ($6000) this week as I have the last two. He hasn’t had the type of games he should have against SD and PIT that he should have, and now he’s facing a team getting Ramon Foster back in the middle of the defense, as well as fellow LB Malcolm Smith who can tackle better than Elijah Lee did last week vs DET. Plus, the match-up to exploit is in the air against the Niners’ secondary.
Los Angeles Chargers (20.5/+7.5) at Los Angeles Rams (28.0/-7.5) [48.5]
The Chargers might find it hard to get an edge in the battle of Los Angeles. The Rams defense has just smothered people so far this year, granted they’ve played 2 teams looking at the possibility of picking first in next year’s draft. The Chargers offense is going to test them here though. The guy with the best match-up on paper is going to be Melvin Gordon ($7400) who is a do it all back just like Gurley on the other side, except Gordon has a solid back up that actually gets some playing time in Austin Ekeler ($4400). All of the Charger WRs and Rivers are going to be fades for me this week. The Rams just look too good vs the pass to expect 20+ points out of any one of those guys. The Rams did get exploited by Jared Cook in week one, and if Antonio Gates ($2600) had looked any better these first two weeks he’d be in play. At his price, you can almost make a case for him as a punt, but I think I’ll hold off until I see some life out of him.
As with the other side of the ball, the RB leads my list of players to use from this game. Todd Gurley ($9200) is not cheap, but he’s one of the few every snap guys out there and stays involved regardless of game script. Mahomes and Hill torched the Chargers in week 1, then they shut down the Bills lackluster offense on the road last week. It’s probable that Goff and his guys fall somewhere in between. Brandin Cooks ($7000) has speed similar to what Hill does, so if I’m looking at any of these WRs, he jumps out first, but he’s not favorably priced for this match-up. My next look would be at Cooper Kupp ($4900) who comes in at a more reasonable salary to work with and has seen 7 red zone opportunities already this year.
Dallas Cowboys (20.0/+1) at Seattle Seahawks (21.0/-1) [41]
So far this season the Dallas offense seems to go through Zeke, Dak, Beasley, Thompson, and Hurns – in that order. However, only Ezekiel Elliott ($7700) and Dak Prescott ($5100) have any relevance in fantasy football at the moment, as the WRs are being rotated a bit with Michael Gallup ($3500) starting to cut into Deonte Thompson’s ($3600) snap counts. For this slate, it’s a situation to avoid in the passing game, but Zeke is going to get the majority of all RB snaps and touches, which puts him in play on volume, but Seattle has been surprisingly tough against RBs so far this year, and will see the return of K.J. Wright and Bobby Wagner to make it even tougher. Factor in the home opener environment with the 12 man behind the Hawks, Dallas running the second least amount of offensive plays, and I just can’t talk myself into anyone on the Boys this week.
The Seahawks will be without their 2nd best player on offense while Doug Baldwin continues to rehab. However, their best weapon is still available. Russell Wilson ($6000) has averaged 19.6 points per game on the road against some pretty tough foes. Now he gets to play at home against another pretty tough defense, but is definitely in play for me – especially at that price. The Dallas defense is strong against the pass, allowing only one pass over 20 yards on the year and only one passing TD. Still, this is a match-up Wilson can beat. Evan Engram hauled in 7 of 7 targets for 67 yards and a TD last week against the Boys, and Will Dissly ($3300) has come out of nowhere to be a reliable TE for the Hawks to start the year. He’s getting 5 targets a game and making the most of them by gaining 147 yards and 2 TDs already. If you don’t want to pay up at TE this week, Dissly is the guy to pivot down to. Brandon Marshall ($4500) still has a bit of gas in the tank and is a red zone presence to consider, but this game may be too low scoring and not enough plays (SEA is 5th lowest in plays per game) to consider anyone outside of Dissly and Wilson.
Chicago Bears (22.25/-6) at Arizona Cardinals (16.25/+6) [38.5]
Jordan Howard ($6500) will be chalky, but this is a really good match-up for him – and his coach is publicly saying he wants to use him more this week. Nagy is seeing what we see from a fantasy perspective and the Cardinals are allowing a league-high 43.5 fantasy points and 2 rushing TDs per game to the RB position this year to go along with an average of 136 rushing yards per game. Factor in this is the chalk play that will be passing your line-ups if you used all early game guys, and I’m definitely using plenty of Howard shares this week. It’s either him or the Bears DST that is going to keep line-ups afloat into the late games. Another option to keep your scoring going late is Allen Robinson ($5400). Robinson is lining up all over the place, so he’ll have plenty of opportunities to avoid Patrick Peterson’s coverage, especially if he goes into the slot a lot – PP7 has only traveled there on 10% of his snaps this year. NOTE: A strategy point here would be to play Howard, but leave $700 on the table in case you’re playing someone else who has him and you need to pivot to David Johnson to try and win your match-up.
The Bears defense has given up good games to both Randall Cobb and Tyler Lockett, who are primarily slot guys. Larry Fitzgerald ($5400) has been an elite slot guy for years now, and should have a chance for a big game here as the Cardinals only weapon in the passing game. Arizona needs to find a way to keep their offense on the field, as they are running an abysmal 47 plays per game right now – league average is 66. The Bears are allowing 2.5 passing TDs per game with a multi-TD passing game in each of their first two contests. That should mean there’s room for more than just Fitzgerald to be productive in the passing game this week. David Johnson ($7200) is in need of some better play-calling to get him the ball more and in open space. His head coach acknowledged this already and has said they plan on getting him out into the slot some, too. If Johnson has a breakout game here, this may be the lowest price we’ll see him at for the rest of the year. He’s a pivot play for me in that price range where guys like MG3, Cook, Barkley, and Howard will see higher ownership.
Thanks for Reading
Jesse Jones | DraftKings Chalk, Pivots & Punts: Week 3 - Gridiron Experts
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