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Thursday, October 17, 2019

Predicting the outcome for each of the NFL Week 7 games

Last week was a decent 9-5 forecast, but the season tally of 52-41 is not as good as it should be. I’d like to blame the radar or even the sling psychrometer for misreading the NFL winds so badly, but it’s all on me.   Thursday Night - Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos (+3): Denver has quietly been playing better football of late. Kansas City has noisily fallen from NFL elite to “what’s wrong” status in the last two weeks, both losses. A hobbled Patrick Mahomes is only part of that equation; the Chiefs defense gets no pass rush and is also terrible against the run. If just one of those issues was the problem, I’d feel good about a return to vitality for the visiting Chiefs. But both the offense and defense are now issues. The only upshot is the Broncos are also bad at rushing the passer. I still smell the upset cover, if not outright victory for Denver.   Chiefs 24, Broncos 23 Sunday Games  - Oakland Raiders at Green Bay Packers (-5.5): The XFL held its draft this week. The Packers hopefully paid attentio

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