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Monday, November 5, 2018

NFL Picks Against the Spread: Week 9 Games

Here are some suggestions when trying to beat the odds.

Before the ninth Sunday of the 2018 NFL regular season kicks off, let’s have some fun by taking a look at the spreads for today’s games. (Click here for NFL Week 9 picks without regard to the spread.)

Here are suggestions when trying to beat the odds. You can find all of today’s NFL betting lines and over/unders via SB Nation. My season record so far is 51-67-3 after going 10-4 last week. It only took half the season but my picks actually turned out well for once! The hot streak starts now.

NFL Week 9 Games

Detroit Lions at Minnesota Vikings (-5.5): This line is giving the Vikings too much credit. Minnesota is closer to being an average team than an elite team. The Lions may not win outright but they’ll at least cover here. PICK: Lions +5.5

Chicago Bears (-10) at Buffalo Bills: The Bills can’t score to save their lives. Can’t entirely rule out a weird trap game here with the matchup in Buffalo but the Bills are just so bad. PICK: Bears -10

Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Carolina Panthers (-6.5): The Bucs are more dangerous now that Ryan Fitzpatrick is back in the starting lineup. The Panthers are legitimately good but I’m still not fully sold on them to the point where I think they’ll make light work of the Bucs. PICK: Buccaneers +6.5

Kansas City Chiefs (-7.5) at Cleveland Browns: Maybe the Browns will be better with Hue Jackson gone? Oh, wait, no, Gregg Williams is running the team now. Give me Andy Reid in this coaching matchup. PICK: Chiefs -7.5

New York Jets at Miami Dolphins (-3): Brocktober is over. Brockvember doesn’t have the same ring to it. Therefore, take the Jets. #Analysis. PICK: Jets +3

Pittsburgh Steelers at Baltimore Ravens (-2): The Steelers are hitting their stride and they’re not about to let themselves get swept by the Ravens this season. PICK: Steelers +2

Atlanta Falcons at Washington Redskins (-2): Hope to be wrong about this one since the Eagles really need a Washington loss but this feels like one of those games that’ll be JUST out of reach for Atlanta. PICK: Washington -2

Los Angeles Chargers (-1) at Seattle Seahawks: The Seahawks are still a dangerous team. Seattle actually ranks sixth overall in DVOA. The Chargers are even higher at No. 3, but I always like Seattle at home. Especially if they’re getting point(s) there. PICK: Seahawks +1

Houston Texans (-1) at Denver Broncos: The Texans have somehow won five in a row after starting out 0-3. They haven’t looked super impressive along the way. It’s not like the Broncos are good but Denver might have some upset potential in them. PICK: Broncos +1

Los Angeles Rams (-2) at New Orleans Saints: The undefeated Rams have show signs of vulnerability. It feels like they’re due for a loss at some point. Why not today against a Saints team that might be better than them? I like Drew Brees getting points at home. PICK: Saints +2

Green Bay Packers at New England Patriots (-5.5): Tom Brady is going to be super fired up to prove it should be him who should be considered the GOAT. PICK: Patriots -5.5

Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys (-4): The Cowboys are less awful than the Titans. PICK: Cowboys -4



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